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5621.T$1385.00+2.37%
Fair $1385.00+0.0%

5621.T

5621.T

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$1385.00

+32.00 (+2.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1385.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $214.8M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 52/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5621.TLocal privado en este navegador · 5621.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.3B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.5x

↓

ROE

14.8%

↑

Gross Margin

69.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1385
$1267$2683

TradingView lightweight chart

5621.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,385Periodo +11.7%
Fair value: $1,385

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.1%

FCF CAGR

+67.8%

FCF margin

13.0%

FCF / Net income

1.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.06B · net income $655.4M · FCF $788.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.1%-4.4% pts

Operating margin

15.4%-1.1% pts

Net margin

10.8%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

13.0%+8.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.06B$6.06B$5.03B$4.22B$3.58B
Net Income$655.4M$655.4M$335.4M$237.6M$438.6M
EBITDA$985.3M$985.3M$533.4M$358.6M$622.8M
EPS68.3168.3139.5929.3348.20
Gross Margin69.1%69.1%67.9%71.0%73.5%
Operating Margin15.4%15.4%10.3%7.8%16.5%
Net Margin10.8%10.8%6.7%5.6%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.010.130.08
Current Ratio3.903.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$788.1M$788.1M$111.2M$214.8M$166.7M
Returns
ROE14.8%14.8%8.6%12.3%24.2%
Valuation
P/E12.7712.7734.15——
EV/EBITDA9.459.4515.29——
P/B3.003.002.94——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.3%20.3%19.2%17.8%—
EPS Growth72.5%72.5%35.0%-39.1%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$122.90

Spread vs growth

50.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$148.70

Spread vs growth

55.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$239.49

Spread vs growth

59.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.0%

Total return

-23.0%

Start / end P/E

48.5x → 20.3x

EPS bridge

39.59 → 68.31

Residual

-42.2%

EPS growth+72.5%
Multiple rerating-58.2%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-42.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.