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v0.1
5644.T$7620.00-0.52%
Fair $7620.00+0.0%

5644.T

Metalart Corporation

Industrials / Metal FabricationTokyo

$7620.00

-40.00 (-0.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7620.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 71/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $543.0M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

71/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5644.TLocal privado en este navegador · Metalart Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21.8B

P/E

8.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.1x

↓

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

12.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$7620
$3075$7710

TradingView lightweight chart

5644.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7,620Periodo +1455.1%
Fair value: $7,620

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.4%

FCF / Net income

0.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.95B · net income $2.00B · FCF $1.48B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.3%-3.2% pts

Operating margin

6.8%-2.3% pts

Net margin

4.5%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

3.4%+4.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.95B$43.95B$45.02B$44.24B$35.01B
Net Income$2.00B$2.00B$2.12B$2.63B$2.21B
EBITDA$5.59B$5.59B$5.33B$5.64B$4.74B
EPS679.15679.15719.21879.91732.78
Gross Margin12.3%12.3%11.8%13.8%15.5%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%6.5%8.6%9.2%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%4.7%5.9%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.220.190.22
Current Ratio1.711.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.48B$1.48B$302.0M$543.0M$-407.0M
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%9.5%13.2%12.6%
Valuation
P/E8.118.115.143.322.70
EV/EBITDA3.073.071.180.780.39
P/B0.960.960.490.440.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.4%-2.4%1.8%26.4%—
EPS Growth-5.6%-5.6%-18.3%20.1%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$676.15

Spread vs growth

-5.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$818.14

Spread vs growth

-9.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1317.62

Spread vs growth

-12.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +149.4%

Total return

+149.4%

Start / end P/E

4.3x → 11.2x

EPS bridge

719.21 → 679.15

Residual

-9.0%

EPS growth-5.6%
Multiple rerating+162.0%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.