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5658.T$352.00-3.56%
Fair $352.00+0.0%

5658.T

Nichia Steel Works, Ltd.

Industrials / Tools & AccessoriesTokyo

$352.00

-13.00 (-3.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $352.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $195.7M · quality 48.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 2.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5658.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nichia Steel Works, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.8B

P/E

15.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.1x

↓

ROE

2.1%

↓

Gross Margin

17.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$352
$298$422

TradingView lightweight chart

5658.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $352.00Periodo +29.9%
Fair value: $352.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.6%

FCF CAGR

-44.4%

FCF margin

0.6%

FCF / Net income

0.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $34.13B · net income $1.07B · FCF $195.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.9%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-2.6% pts

Net margin

3.1%-2.5% pts

FCF margin

0.6%-3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$34.13B$34.13B$34.50B$34.08B$30.72B
Net Income$1.07B$1.07B$1.26B$1.33B$1.72B
EBITDA$2.86B$2.86B$3.49B$3.69B$4.04B
EPS22.4822.4826.1927.5435.45
Gross Margin17.9%17.9%17.1%18.5%20.8%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%3.9%5.3%6.6%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%3.6%3.9%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.080.120.13
Current Ratio3.283.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$195.7M$195.7M$1.82B$-1.77B$1.14B
Returns
ROE2.1%2.1%2.4%2.8%3.7%
Valuation
P/E15.8315.8312.3710.687.45
EV/EBITDA3.093.092.102.051.45
P/B0.320.320.300.290.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.1%-1.1%1.2%10.9%—
EPS Growth-14.2%-14.2%-4.9%-22.3%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$31.23

Spread vs growth

-25.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$37.79

Spread vs growth

-25.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$60.87

Spread vs growth

-24.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.7%

Total return

+19.7%

Start / end P/E

11.5x → 15.7x

EPS bridge

26.19 → 22.48

Residual

-5.1%

EPS growth-14.2%
Multiple rerating+36.2%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.