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5816.T$1812.00-1.79%
Fair $1812.00+0.0%

5816.T

Onamba Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsTokyo

$1812.00

-33.00 (-1.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1812.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $810.1M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5816.TLocal privado en este navegador · Onamba Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.1B

P/E

14.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

↓

ROE

5.5%

↓

Gross Margin

20.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$1812
$943$2299

TradingView lightweight chart

5816.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,812Periodo +174.5%
Fair value: $1,812

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.6%

FCF CAGR

-17.6%

FCF margin

0.9%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.44B · net income $1.51B · FCF $378.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.6%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

5.9%+0.1% pts

Net margin

3.4%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

0.9%-0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$44.44B$44.44B$44.80B$44.76B$43.64B
Net Income$1.51B$1.51B$2.78B$1.98B$2.13B
EBITDA$3.31B$3.31B$5.07B$3.54B$3.53B
EPS——228.42162.84175.09
Gross Margin20.6%20.6%18.9%19.2%18.5%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%4.9%5.5%5.8%
Net Margin3.4%3.4%6.2%4.4%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.100.150.23
Current Ratio2.882.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$378.0M$378.0M$810.1M$3.49B$675.2M
Returns
ROE5.5%5.5%10.7%8.7%10.4%
Valuation
P/E14.5714.574.465.234.24
EV/EBITDA5.255.251.522.052.44
P/B0.800.800.470.450.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%0.1%2.6%—
EPS Growth——40.3%-7.0%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +85.5%

Total return

+85.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

228.42 → n/d

Residual

+81.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+81.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.