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5852.T$697.00-3.60%
Fair $697.00+0.0%

5852.T

Ahresty Corporation

Industrials / Metal FabricationTokyo

$697.00

-26.00 (-3.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $697.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $839.0M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -5.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5852.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ahresty Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.4B

P/E

4.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.7x

↓

ROE

-5.6%

↓

Gross Margin

9.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.77

↑
52-Week Range$697
$638$968

TradingView lightweight chart

5852.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $697.00Periodo +130.0%
Fair value: $697.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $162.93B · net income $-2.89B · FCF $432.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.5%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

2.1%+4.2% pts

Net margin

-1.8%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

0.3%+1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$162.93B$162.93B$158.25B$140.94B$116.31B
Net Income$-2.89B$-2.89B$-7.70B$-84.0M$-5.19B
EBITDA$11.73B$11.73B$5.10B$13.69B$8.46B
EPS-116.26-116.26-300.55-3.26-201.23
Gross Margin9.5%9.5%8.8%7.4%6.6%
Operating Margin2.1%2.1%1.4%0.0%-2.1%
Net Margin-1.8%-1.8%-4.9%-0.1%-4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.770.770.790.770.80
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$432.0M$432.0M$5.20B$839.0M$-989.0M
Returns
ROE-5.6%-5.6%-14.9%-0.1%-9.7%
Valuation
P/E4.874.87———
EV/EBITDA3.753.759.503.195.07
P/B0.330.330.390.230.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%12.3%21.2%—
EPS Growth61.3%61.3%-9119.3%98.4%—
Dividend Yield6.6%6.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.4%

Total return

+13.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-300.55 → -116.26

Residual

+6.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.