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5888.T$2752.00-3.75%
Fair $2752.00+0.0%

5888.T

5888.T

Consumer Cyclical / Recreational VehiclesTokyo

$2752.00

-107.00 (-3.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2752.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $380.9M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5888.TLocal privado en este navegador · 5888.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.6B

P/E

8.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

15.0%

↑

Gross Margin

43.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2752
$2710$4755

TradingView lightweight chart

5888.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,750Periodo +64.0%
Fair value: $2,752

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.3%

FCF CAGR

+16.0%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.11B · net income $948.6M · FCF $248.3M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

43.6%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

6.7%+2.4% pts

Net margin

4.5%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

1.2%-0.0% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$21.11B$21.11B$18.35B$15.34B$13.09B
Net Income$948.6M$948.6M$898.2M$501.4M$413.9M
EBITDA$1.63B$1.63B$1.53B$939.4M$720.2M
EPS336.96336.96320.53226.06206.97
Gross Margin43.6%43.6%44.4%43.9%43.8%
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%7.5%5.2%4.3%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%4.9%3.3%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.072.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$248.3M$248.3M$856.5M$380.9M$159.0M
Returns
ROE15.0%15.0%16.2%10.5%12.9%
Valuation
P/E8.178.1711.6710.10—
EV/EBITDA3.833.835.403.60—
P/B1.231.231.901.07—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.0%15.0%19.6%17.2%—
EPS Growth5.1%5.1%41.8%9.2%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$244.19

Spread vs growth

15.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$295.47

Spread vs growth

7.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$475.87

Spread vs growth

1.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.6%

Total return

-36.6%

Start / end P/E

14.1x → 8.2x

EPS bridge

320.53 → 336.96

Residual

-2.2%

EPS growth+5.1%
Multiple rerating-42.2%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.