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5959.T$886.00-1.64%
Fair $886.00+0.0%

5959.T

Okabe Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentTokyo

$886.00

-15.00 (-1.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $886.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $717.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5959.TLocal privado en este navegador · Okabe Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$39.6B

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↓

Gross Margin

31.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$886
$814$1068

TradingView lightweight chart

5959.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $901.00Periodo +494.7%
Fair value: $886.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $69.76B · net income $3.29B · FCF $-434.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.1%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

6.8%-0.0% pts

Net margin

4.7%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$69.76B$69.76B$67.81B$78.15B$76.85B
Net Income$3.29B$3.29B$-874.0M$-5.47B$3.85B
EBITDA$6.99B$6.99B$928.0M$-2.82B$8.80B
EPS71.7871.78-18.91-118.2281.30
Gross Margin31.1%31.1%31.2%27.2%26.9%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%6.2%5.2%6.9%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%-1.3%-7.0%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.100.110.18
Current Ratio3.083.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-434.0M$-434.0M$717.0M$4.42B$-859.0M
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%-1.5%-8.8%5.7%
Valuation
P/E12.3412.34——8.61
EV/EBITDA5.405.4032.39—3.09
P/B0.660.660.590.560.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.9%2.9%-13.2%1.7%—
EPS Growth479.6%479.6%84.0%-245.4%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$78.62

Spread vs growth

476.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$95.13

Spread vs growth

473.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$153.20

Spread vs growth

471.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.8%

Total return

+11.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-18.91 → 71.78

Residual

+8.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+8.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.