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5962.T$1675.00-4.72%
Fair $1675.00+0.0%

5962.T

Asaka Industrial Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Tools & AccessoriesTokyo

$1675.00

-83.00 (-4.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1675.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-58.7M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 5962.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asaka Industrial Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

3.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

5.4%

↓

Gross Margin

27.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$1675
$1536$2120

TradingView lightweight chart

5962.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,675Periodo -25.2%
Fair value: $1,675

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.45B · net income $227.6M · FCF $-98.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

3.6%+0.1% pts

Net margin

2.7%+0.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.2%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.45B$8.45B$8.58B$8.56B$8.56B
Net Income$227.6M$227.6M$302.5M$195.2M$214.1M
EBITDA$434.0M$434.0M$525.1M$383.5M$415.8M
EPS236.98236.98314.95203.24222.88
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%26.6%25.4%26.2%
Operating Margin3.6%3.6%3.6%3.2%3.5%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%3.5%2.3%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.250.290.32
Current Ratio2.472.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-98.0M$-98.0M$-58.7M$-37.9M$431.2M
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%7.5%5.6%6.4%
Valuation
P/E3.923.925.277.016.93
EV/EBITDA3.463.462.643.243.01
P/B0.380.380.400.390.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%0.2%0.1%—
EPS Growth-24.8%-24.8%55.0%-8.8%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$148.63

Spread vs growth

-10.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$179.84

Spread vs growth

-19.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$289.63

Spread vs growth

-26.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.3%

Total return

+11.3%

Start / end P/E

4.9x → 7.1x

EPS bridge

314.95 → 236.98

Residual

-10.9%

EPS growth-24.8%
Multiple rerating+44.2%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.