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600028.SS$4.87+0.41%
Fair $4.87+0.0%

600028.SS

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedShanghai

$4.87

+0.02 (+0.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.87Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.2B · quality 41.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600028.SSLocal privado en este navegador · China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$588.9B

P/E

18.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

3.9%

↑

Gross Margin

16.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.64

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600028.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.870Periodo +45.2%
Fair value: $4.870

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.78T · net income $32.48B · FCF $28.87B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.8%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

1.9%-1.0% pts

Net margin

1.2%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

1.0%+2.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2781.75B$2781.75B$3073.11B$3210.86B$3316.95B
Net Income$32.48B$32.48B$48.94B$58.31B$66.93B
EBITDA$189.33B$189.33B$207.68B$100.90B$110.07B
EPS——0.400.490.55
Gross Margin16.8%16.8%16.4%16.4%15.7%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%2.3%2.7%2.9%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%1.6%1.8%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.640.640.580.550.45
Current Ratio0.810.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.87B$28.87B$10.15B$-10.02B$-56.26B
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%6.0%7.3%8.5%
Valuation
P/E18.0418.0416.2611.547.91
EV/EBITDA5.495.495.689.837.20
P/B0.710.710.980.840.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.5%-9.5%-4.3%-3.2%—
EPS Growth——-17.0%-12.1%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.6%

Total return

-10.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.40 → n/d

Residual

-14.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.