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600059.SS$8.34-1.32%
Fair $8.34+0.0%

600059.SS

Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing Wine Co.,Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesShanghai

$8.34

-0.11 (-1.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.34Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $101.0M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600059.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing Wine Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.6B

P/E

31.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.3x

↑

ROE

3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

37.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$8
$8$12

TradingView lightweight chart

600059.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.230Periodo +128.7%
Fair value: $8.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

0.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.83B · net income $222.3M · FCF $101.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.7%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

11.8%-1.5% pts

Net margin

12.1%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

5.5%+12.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.83B$1.83B$1.94B$1.78B$1.62B
Net Income$222.3M$222.3M$205.6M$396.6M$201.9M
EBITDA$396.9M$396.9M$378.3M$623.1M$347.6M
EPS0.250.250.230.440.22
Gross Margin37.7%37.7%37.2%37.6%35.4%
Operating Margin11.8%11.8%12.8%12.0%13.3%
Net Margin12.1%12.1%10.6%22.2%12.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio5.325.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$101.0M$101.0M$110.2M$-50.4M$-111.3M
Returns
ROE3.8%3.8%3.5%6.8%3.7%
Valuation
P/E31.6531.6535.4320.5743.32
EV/EBITDA13.3413.3413.649.6619.86
P/B1.251.251.241.401.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.4%-5.4%8.6%10.1%—
EPS Growth8.7%8.7%-47.7%100.0%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

43.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.74

Spread vs growth

-34.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.90

Spread vs growth

-20.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.44

Spread vs growth

-10.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.1%

Total return

-11.1%

Start / end P/E

40.7x → 32.9x

EPS bridge

0.23 → 0.25

Residual

-1.7%

EPS growth+8.7%
Multiple rerating-19.1%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.