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600071.SS$17.83+0.73%
Fair $17.83+0.0%

600071.SS

Phenix Optical Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureShanghai

$17.83

+0.13 (+0.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.83Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600071.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Phenix Optical Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

198.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

33.9x

↑

ROE

2.8%

↓

Gross Margin

15.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.49

↑
52-Week Range$18
$17$26

TradingView lightweight chart

600071.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.83Periodo +268.3%
Fair value: $17.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.6%

FCF / Net income

2.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.68B · net income $13.4M · FCF $27.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

15.7%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

0.9%-0.7% pts

Net margin

0.8%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

1.6%+8.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.68B$1.68B$1.79B$1.86B$1.59B
Net Income$13.4M$13.4M$-84.5M$1.7M$10.6M
EBITDA$156.2M$156.2M$59.4M$115.1M$98.8M
EPS0.050.05-0.300.01—
Gross Margin15.7%15.7%12.3%12.7%13.9%
Operating Margin0.9%0.9%-1.8%1.0%1.6%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%-4.7%0.1%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.491.491.801.551.08
Current Ratio0.890.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$27.6M$27.6M$-1.1M$-63.5M$-105.2M
Returns
ROE2.8%2.8%-19.3%0.3%2.0%
Valuation
P/E198.11198.11—2189.00—
EV/EBITDA33.8933.89113.3536.88127.04
P/B10.0910.0914.167.2223.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.1%-6.1%-3.9%17.1%—
EPS Growth116.7%116.7%-3100.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

216.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.58

Spread vs growth

-99.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

107.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.91

Spread vs growth

9.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

51.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.08

Spread vs growth

65.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.7%

Total return

-17.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.30 → 0.05

Residual

-17.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.