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600088.SS$14.26-7.76%
Fair $14.26+0.0%

600088.SS

China Television Media, Ltd.

Communication Services / EntertainmentShanghai

$14.26

-1.20 (-7.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.26Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.3M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600088.SSLocal privado en este navegador · China Television Media, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

80.7x

↑

ROE

-1.4%

↓

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$14
$14$20

TradingView lightweight chart

600088.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.26Periodo +68.5%
Fair value: $14.26

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.2%

FCF / Net income

3.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.04B · net income $-18.0M · FCF $-64.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%+11.5% pts

Operating margin

1.8%+9.8% pts

Net margin

-1.7%+3.9% pts

FCF margin

-6.2%+3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.04B$1.04B$1.14B$1.11B$1.15B
Net Income$-18.0M$-18.0M$43.8M$237.3M$-64.9M
EBITDA$63.3M$63.3M$113.2M$302.5M$-30.4M
EPS-0.04-0.040.110.60-0.16
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%13.2%13.5%0.7%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%3.7%4.0%-8.0%
Net Margin-1.7%-1.7%3.9%21.3%-5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.080.080.11
Current Ratio5.355.35———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-64.3M$-64.3M$75.1M$7.3M$-110.7M
Returns
ROE-1.4%-1.4%3.4%19.0%-6.4%
Valuation
P/E——151.3625.71—
EV/EBITDA80.7480.7453.3818.44—
P/B4.544.545.164.893.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.8%-8.8%2.0%-3.0%—
EPS Growth-140.9%-140.9%-81.6%466.3%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.6%

Total return

-14.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.11 → -0.04

Residual

-14.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.