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600097.SS$9.05-3.42%
Fair $9.05+0.0%

600097.SS

Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShanghai

$9.05

-0.32 (-3.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.05Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $43.7M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600097.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Kaichuang Marine International Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

82.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

29.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$9
$9$16

TradingView lightweight chart

600097.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.050Periodo -2.5%
Fair value: $9.050

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.34B · net income $73.9M · FCF $-18.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.7%-2.6% pts

Operating margin

4.9%-3.7% pts

Net margin

3.2%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%+1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.34B$2.34B$2.32B$2.01B$1.94B
Net Income$73.9M$73.9M$61.2M$148.4M$106.1M
EBITDA$339.1M$339.1M$317.6M$394.6M$288.7M
EPS0.310.310.250.620.44
Gross Margin29.7%29.7%28.1%32.5%32.3%
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%6.4%8.5%8.5%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%2.6%7.4%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.230.280.34
Current Ratio2.212.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-18.5M$-18.5M$216.3M$43.7M$-37.3M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%2.7%6.6%5.1%
Valuation
P/E82.2782.2735.6417.2123.32
EV/EBITDA6.536.536.876.738.82
P/B0.930.930.971.141.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.9%0.9%14.9%3.8%—
EPS Growth24.0%24.0%-59.7%40.9%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

37.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

-13.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.97

Spread vs growth

-1.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.56

Spread vs growth

6.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.2%

Total return

-11.2%

Start / end P/E

41.2x → 29.2x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.31

Residual

-7.0%

EPS growth+24.0%
Multiple rerating-29.2%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.