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v0.1
600130.SS$4.96-1.39%
Fair $4.96+0.0%

600130.SS

Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentShanghai

$4.96

-0.07 (-1.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.96Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.7M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600130.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

496.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

73.7x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

15.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$5
$3$7

TradingView lightweight chart

600130.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.960Periodo -21.9%
Fair value: $4.960

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.3%

FCF / Net income

-5.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $470.4M · net income $5.3M · FCF $-29.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.6%+3.1% pts

Operating margin

0.7%-2.8% pts

Net margin

1.1%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

-6.3%-38.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$470.4M$470.4M$360.6M$417.5M$534.6M
Net Income$5.3M$5.3M$5.1M$14.0M$18.2M
EBITDA$29.0M$29.0M$26.2M$38.8M$52.5M
EPS0.010.010.010.020.02
Gross Margin15.6%15.6%13.2%12.7%12.5%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%-1.5%2.4%3.6%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.4%3.3%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.000.00
Current Ratio4.924.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-29.7M$-29.7M$-9.7M$71.1M$170.0M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%0.5%1.4%1.8%
Valuation
P/E496.00496.00441.00229.50240.00
EV/EBITDA73.6873.6867.9367.8372.60
P/B2.712.712.343.164.38
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth30.4%30.4%-13.6%-21.9%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-50.0%0.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

253.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.44

Spread vs growth

-253.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

121.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.53

Spread vs growth

-121.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

56.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.86

Spread vs growth

-56.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.5%

Total return

+54.5%

Start / end P/E

321.0x → 496.0x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.01

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating+54.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.