StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
600199.SS$8.47-0.94%
Fair $8.47+0.0%

600199.SS

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesShanghai

$8.47

-0.08 (-0.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.47Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-284.7M · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -10.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600199.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-10.1%

↓

Gross Margin

39.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$8
$8$12

TradingView lightweight chart

600199.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.470Periodo +150.4%
Fair value: $8.470

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-39.4%

FCF / Net income

1.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $722.0M · net income $-198.6M · FCF $-284.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.0%+12.5% pts

Operating margin

-24.9%-9.1% pts

Net margin

-27.5%-11.7% pts

FCF margin

-39.4%+5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$722.0M$722.0M$925.2M$1.47B$1.19B
Net Income$-198.6M$-198.6M$-257.6M$-22.1M$-187.1M
EBITDA$-121.4M$-121.4M$-188.6M$61.8M$-129.7M
EPS-0.30-0.30-0.39-0.03-0.28
Gross Margin39.0%39.0%34.9%40.3%26.4%
Operating Margin-24.9%-24.9%-27.7%-0.3%-15.8%
Net Margin-27.5%-27.5%-27.8%-1.5%-15.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.09—0.01
Current Ratio2.272.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-284.7M$-284.7M$-386.7M$16.1M$-529.7M
Returns
ROE-10.1%-10.1%-11.9%-0.9%-7.4%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA———198.34—
P/B2.862.863.505.077.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.0%-22.0%-37.0%23.9%—
EPS Growth23.1%23.1%-1200.0%89.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.6%

Total return

-16.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.39 → -0.30

Residual

-16.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.