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600238.SS$5.14-1.15%
Fair $5.14+0.0%

600238.SS

Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - BrewersShanghai

$5.14

-0.06 (-1.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.14Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 4/F
F-Score: 6/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-26.1M · quality 23.3/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

4/100

F

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.53, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -38.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600238.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

470.6x

↑

ROE

-38.6%

↓

Gross Margin

37.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.53

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600238.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.140Periodo +68.5%
Fair value: $5.140

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

21.8%

FCF / Net income

-2.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $371.2M · net income $-28.9M · FCF $81.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.9%+9.5% pts

Operating margin

5.2%+32.9% pts

Net margin

-7.8%+20.1% pts

FCF margin

21.8%+33.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$371.2M$371.2M$175.2M$224.5M$416.4M
Net Income$-28.9M$-28.9M$-121.0M$-148.2M$-116.2M
EBITDA$5.5M$5.5M$-66.3M$-106.1M$-97.9M
EPS-0.06-0.06-0.27-0.33-0.26
Gross Margin37.9%37.9%30.7%28.0%28.5%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%-32.4%-18.8%-27.7%
Net Margin-7.8%-7.8%-69.1%-66.0%-27.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.532.532.211.120.83
Current Ratio0.710.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$81.0M$81.0M$-26.1M$-41.8M$-46.9M
Returns
ROE-38.6%-38.6%-116.9%-66.0%-32.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA470.59470.59———
P/B33.1033.1031.9519.5918.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth111.9%111.9%-22.0%-46.1%—
EPS Growth77.8%77.8%18.2%-26.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.7%

Total return

-7.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → -0.06

Residual

-7.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.