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600269.SS$4.39-0.68%
Fair $4.39+0.0%

600269.SS

Jiangxi Ganyue Expressway CO.,LTD.

Industrials / Infrastructure OperationsShanghai

$4.39

-0.03 (-0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.39Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $173.6M · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 600269.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangxi Ganyue Expressway CO.,LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.3B

P/E

9.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

37.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.35

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

600269.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.390Periodo +76.1%
Fair value: $4.390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.4%

FCF CAGR

-5.5%

FCF margin

20.4%

FCF / Net income

1.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.28B · net income $1.28B · FCF $1.28B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.7%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

30.9%+5.3% pts

Net margin

20.4%+10.1% pts

FCF margin

20.4%-2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.28B$6.28B$5.99B$7.49B$6.76B
Net Income$1.28B$1.28B$1.28B$1.18B$696.0M
EBITDA$3.18B$3.18B$2.92B$3.01B$2.98B
EPS0.550.550.550.500.30
Gross Margin37.7%37.7%39.3%31.8%32.1%
Operating Margin30.9%30.9%31.6%25.7%25.6%
Net Margin20.4%20.4%21.4%15.7%10.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.400.400.49
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.28B$1.28B$173.6M$162.7M$1.52B
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%6.9%6.7%4.1%
Valuation
P/E8.968.969.718.5011.23
EV/EBITDA4.504.505.914.904.80
P/B0.520.520.670.570.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%-20.1%10.9%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%10.0%66.7%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.39

Spread vs growth

10.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

3.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.76

Spread vs growth

-3.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.4%

Total return

-13.4%

Start / end P/E

9.7x → 8.0x

EPS bridge

0.55 → 0.55

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating-17.3%
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.