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600368.SS$3.99+1.79%
Fair $3.99+0.0%

600368.SS

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd.

Industrials / RailroadsShanghai

$3.99

+0.07 (+1.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.99Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $310.4M · quality 47.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 600368.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

11.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

↓

ROE

7.7%

↑

Gross Margin

55.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$5

TradingView lightweight chart

600368.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.990Periodo +35.4%
Fair value: $3.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-81.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.35B · net income $556.5M · FCF $-1.10B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.0%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

45.2%+0.3% pts

Net margin

41.4%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

-81.4%-173.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.35B$1.35B$1.56B$1.62B$1.50B
Net Income$556.5M$556.5M$698.2M$660.7M$581.8M
EBITDA$1.04B$1.04B$1.20B$1.20B$1.05B
EPS0.350.350.430.410.40
Gross Margin55.0%55.0%57.6%60.7%58.0%
Operating Margin45.2%45.2%48.6%46.4%44.9%
Net Margin41.4%41.4%44.7%40.8%38.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.250.330.52
Current Ratio1.211.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.10B$-1.10B$310.4M$743.8M$1.38B
Returns
ROE7.7%7.7%10.2%10.5%10.2%
Valuation
P/E11.4011.4011.047.826.56
EV/EBITDA9.139.137.475.455.56
P/B0.890.891.120.820.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.9%-13.9%-3.4%7.8%—
EPS Growth-20.3%-20.3%5.7%3.2%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

-21.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

-24.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

-27.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.0%

Total return

-9.0%

Start / end P/E

10.5x → 11.5x

EPS bridge

0.43 → 0.35

Residual

-2.0%

EPS growth-20.3%
Multiple rerating+10.0%
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.