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600429.SS$4.83-3.01%
Fair $4.83+0.0%

600429.SS

Beijing Sanyuan Foods Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShanghai

$4.83

-0.15 (-3.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.83Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $250.5M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600429.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Sanyuan Foods Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

209.9x

↑

ROE

-4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

600429.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.830Periodo -33.8%
Fair value: $4.830

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.34B · net income $-225.6M · FCF $349.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%-3.9% pts

Operating margin

1.1%-1.6% pts

Net margin

-3.6%-4.1% pts

FCF margin

5.5%+14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.34B$6.34B$7.01B$7.86B$7.95B
Net Income$-225.6M$-225.6M$54.8M$242.9M$40.3M
EBITDA$39.6M$39.6M$389.6M$715.6M$863.4M
EPS-0.15-0.150.040.160.03
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%22.9%23.1%26.0%
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%0.2%1.2%2.7%
Net Margin-3.6%-3.6%0.8%3.1%0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.420.420.90
Current Ratio0.710.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$349.7M$349.7M$250.5M$-63.5M$-744.5M
Returns
ROE-4.8%-4.8%1.1%4.7%0.8%
Valuation
P/E——115.5627.63182.59
EV/EBITDA209.87209.8719.1710.7112.61
P/B1.541.541.281.301.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.6%-9.6%-10.7%-1.2%—
EPS Growth-513.9%-513.9%-77.5%492.6%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.9%

Total return

+3.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.04 → -0.15

Residual

+3.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.