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600469.SS$5.94-2.46%
Fair $5.94+0.0%

600469.SS

Aeolus Tyre Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$5.94

-0.15 (-2.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.94Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $89.0M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 600469.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Aeolus Tyre Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

17.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↓

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

14.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.37

↓
52-Week Range$6
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600469.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.940Periodo +71.2%
Fair value: $5.940

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.1%

FCF CAGR

-38.5%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.41B · net income $235.6M · FCF $89.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.8%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

6.4%+3.5% pts

Net margin

3.2%+1.5% pts

FCF margin

1.2%-6.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.41B$7.41B$6.71B$5.74B$4.99B
Net Income$235.6M$235.6M$280.9M$348.9M$84.5M
EBITDA$574.8M$574.8M$612.7M$713.2M$434.9M
EPS0.320.320.390.480.12
Gross Margin14.8%14.8%17.1%18.8%13.9%
Operating Margin6.4%6.4%7.2%8.4%2.9%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%4.2%6.1%1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.370.400.53
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$89.0M$89.0M$46.2M$196.9M$383.1M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%8.6%10.8%2.9%
Valuation
P/E17.4717.4715.0812.8340.92
EV/EBITDA8.038.037.426.358.23
P/B1.241.241.291.381.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.5%10.5%16.9%15.1%—
EPS Growth-17.9%-17.9%-18.7%300.0%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

18.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.53

Spread vs growth

-36.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.64

Spread vs growth

-32.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.03

Spread vs growth

-30.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.6%

Total return

+6.6%

Start / end P/E

14.5x → 18.6x

EPS bridge

0.39 → 0.32

Residual

-5.0%

EPS growth-17.9%
Multiple rerating+27.9%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.