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600502.SS$5.25-1.69%
Fair $5.25+0.0%

600502.SS

Anhui Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShanghai

$5.25

-0.09 (-1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.25Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-8.4B · quality 26.3/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 4.40, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600502.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.0B

P/E

6.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

12.9x

↑

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

14.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

4.40

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

600502.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.250Periodo +405.8%
Fair value: $5.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.2%

FCF / Net income

-7.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $83.20B · net income $1.53B · FCF $-11.80B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.8%+3.1% pts

Operating margin

8.7%+2.0% pts

Net margin

1.8%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-14.2%-9.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$83.20B$83.20B$96.50B$91.24B$80.12B
Net Income$1.53B$1.53B$1.34B$1.55B$1.38B
EBITDA$5.71B$5.71B$5.54B$5.54B$5.26B
EPS0.800.800.780.910.80
Gross Margin14.8%14.8%12.4%12.4%11.7%
Operating Margin8.7%8.7%7.1%7.5%6.7%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%1.4%1.7%1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity4.404.404.414.624.02
Current Ratio0.990.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-11.80B$-11.80B$-8.43B$-655.8M$-4.05B
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%8.7%12.5%10.6%
Valuation
P/E6.736.735.865.236.15
EV/EBITDA12.8912.8910.418.988.75
P/B0.520.520.510.650.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.8%-13.8%5.8%13.9%—
EPS Growth2.6%2.6%-14.3%13.7%—
Dividend Yield6.9%6.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-16.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

19.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.56

Spread vs growth

9.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.91

Spread vs growth

1.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.1%

Total return

+19.1%

Start / end P/E

6.0x → 6.6x

EPS bridge

0.78 → 0.80

Residual

+0.2%

EPS growth+2.6%
Multiple rerating+9.4%
Dividend+6.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.