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600506.SS$17.77-2.04%
Fair $17.77+0.0%

600506.SS

Tongyi Carbon Neutral Technology (Xinjiang) Co., Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShanghai

$17.77

-0.37 (-2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.77Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $342.9M · quality 64.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600506.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Tongyi Carbon Neutral Technology (Xinjiang) Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

126.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

60.8x

↑

ROE

2.9%

↓

Gross Margin

20.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.04

↑
52-Week Range$18
$14$28

TradingView lightweight chart

600506.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.77Periodo +142.0%
Fair value: $17.77

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.2%

FCF CAGR

+62.8%

FCF margin

11.5%

FCF / Net income

21.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.41B · net income $13.1M · FCF $277.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.2%+5.0% pts

Operating margin

3.2%+6.5% pts

Net margin

0.5%+4.7% pts

FCF margin

11.5%+8.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.41B$2.41B$2.31B$2.24B$2.01B
Net Income$13.1M$13.1M$31.4M$-49.0M$-84.2M
EBITDA$78.8M$78.8M$142.9M$59.6M$38.2M
EPS0.050.050.13-0.20-0.43
Gross Margin20.2%20.2%20.4%16.8%15.2%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%4.0%1.1%-3.2%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%1.4%-2.2%-4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.041.042.122.882.27
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$277.7M$277.7M$411.3M$342.9M$64.3M
Returns
ROE2.9%2.9%7.1%-12.2%-18.7%
Valuation
P/E126.93126.93105.67——
EV/EBITDA60.8360.8328.3663.2058.80
P/B10.0110.017.477.233.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.2%4.2%3.3%11.4%—
EPS Growth-58.5%-58.5%164.3%54.6%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

211.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.58

Spread vs growth

-269.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

105.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.91

Spread vs growth

-163.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

50.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.07

Spread vs growth

-108.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.3%

Total return

+15.3%

Start / end P/E

122.4x → 339.7x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.05

Residual

-104.0%

EPS growth-58.5%
Multiple rerating+177.6%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-104.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.