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600525.SS$5.33+0.57%
Fair $5.33+0.0%

600525.SS

ChangYuan Technology Group Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShanghai

$5.33

+0.03 (+0.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.33Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $620.0M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -40.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600525.SSLocal privado en este navegador · ChangYuan Technology Group Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-40.8%

↓

Gross Margin

30.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.16

↑
52-Week Range$5
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

600525.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.330Periodo +155.4%
Fair value: $5.330

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+25.5%

FCF margin

8.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.90B · net income $-1.14B · FCF $673.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.4%— pts

Operating margin

0.8%— pts

Net margin

-14.4%— pts

FCF margin

8.5%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.90B$7.90B———
Net Income$-1.14B$-1.14B$-978.7M$109.6M$673.4M
EBITDA$-697.7M$-697.7M$-492.7M$753.9M$1.54B
EPS-0.86-0.86-0.740.080.51
Gross Margin30.4%30.4%———
Operating Margin0.8%0.8%———
Net Margin-14.4%-14.4%———
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.161.160.810.630.67
Current Ratio0.940.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$673.7M$673.7M$142.6M$620.0M$340.5M
Returns
ROE-40.8%-40.8%-25.3%2.2%14.1%
Valuation
P/E———64.759.59
EV/EBITDA———11.595.54
P/B2.532.531.561.411.36
Growth & Yield
EPS Growth-16.2%-16.2%-1025.0%-84.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +55.8%

Total return

+55.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.74 → -0.86

Residual

+55.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+55.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.