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600540.SS$4.92-1.40%
Fair $4.92+0.0%

600540.SS

Xinjiang Sayram Modern Agriculture Co., Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShanghai

$4.92

-0.07 (-1.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.92Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-915.4M · quality 24.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 16.90, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -41.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600540.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Xinjiang Sayram Modern Agriculture Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-41.5%

↓

Gross Margin

0.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

16.90

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

600540.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.920Periodo +40.9%
Fair value: $4.920

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+31.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-44.2%

FCF / Net income

9.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.01B · net income $-142.4M · FCF $-1.33B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

0.5%+14.9% pts

Operating margin

-2.1%+16.0% pts

Net margin

-4.7%+16.3% pts

FCF margin

-44.2%-74.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.01B$3.01B$1.55B$971.6M$1.32B
Net Income$-142.4M$-142.4M$-244.0M$14.7M$-278.2M
EBITDA$-31.8M$-31.8M$-158.0M$79.1M$-223.7M
EPS-0.24-0.24-0.420.03-0.48
Gross Margin0.5%0.5%-4.0%3.4%-14.3%
Operating Margin-2.1%-2.1%-8.2%-1.8%-18.2%
Net Margin-4.7%-4.7%-15.7%1.5%-21.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity16.9016.907.342.541.58
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.33B$-1.33B$-915.4M$-553.3M$396.8M
Returns
ROE-41.5%-41.5%-50.3%2.0%-35.3%
Valuation
P/E———191.30—
EV/EBITDA———48.02—
P/B8.518.514.433.863.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth93.7%93.7%60.0%-26.6%—
EPS Growth42.9%42.9%-1760.1%105.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.9%

Total return

+1.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.42 → -0.24

Residual

+1.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.