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600560.SS$13.20+2.80%
Fair $13.20+0.0%

600560.SS

Beijing AriTime Intelligent Control Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShanghai

$13.20

+0.36 (+2.80%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.20Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 1/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-84.9M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 600560.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing AriTime Intelligent Control Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

57.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

40.3x

↑

ROE

5.3%

↓

Gross Margin

23.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$13
$13$19

TradingView lightweight chart

600560.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.20Periodo +60.0%
Fair value: $13.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-26.8%

FCF / Net income

-4.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $792.2M · net income $51.6M · FCF $-212.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.9%+2.1% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+3.4% pts

Net margin

6.5%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

-26.8%-30.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$792.2M$792.2M$739.4M$949.6M$735.2M
Net Income$51.6M$51.6M$52.6M$52.5M$44.0M
EBITDA$74.8M$74.8M$70.1M$68.9M$59.6M
EPS0.230.230.230.230.20
Gross Margin23.9%23.9%28.0%18.9%21.9%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%12.6%7.4%5.6%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%7.1%5.5%6.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.01——
Current Ratio1.421.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-212.1M$-212.1M$-84.9M$12.4M$25.0M
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%5.6%5.8%5.1%
Valuation
P/E57.3957.3958.1360.2651.02
EV/EBITDA40.2940.2941.4344.1436.95
P/B3.013.013.243.492.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%-22.1%29.2%—
EPS Growth-1.7%-1.7%0.0%19.3%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

71.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.17

Spread vs growth

-73.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

43.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.42

Spread vs growth

-45.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.28

Spread vs growth

-27.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.8%

Total return

-15.8%

Start / end P/E

67.1x → 57.1x

EPS bridge

0.23 → 0.23

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth-1.7%
Multiple rerating-14.9%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.