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600628.SS$6.40-2.29%
Fair $6.40+0.0%

600628.SS

Shanghai New World Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShanghai

$6.40

-0.15 (-2.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.40Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $156.4M · quality 57.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600628.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai New World Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

64.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.2x

↑

ROE

1.6%

↓

Gross Margin

42.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$10

TradingView lightweight chart

600628.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.400Periodo +107.1%
Fair value: $6.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.9%

FCF / Net income

0.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.10B · net income $66.7M · FCF $10.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.9%+15.4% pts

Operating margin

7.2%+16.0% pts

Net margin

6.1%+12.2% pts

FCF margin

0.9%+2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.10B$1.10B$1.12B$1.13B$850.0M
Net Income$66.7M$66.7M$70.0M$31.7M$-52.0M
EBITDA$245.3M$245.3M$271.8M$233.6M$115.6M
EPS0.100.100.110.05-0.08
Gross Margin42.9%42.9%41.7%39.8%27.5%
Operating Margin7.2%7.2%8.2%8.6%-8.7%
Net Margin6.1%6.1%6.3%2.8%-6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.130.140.15
Current Ratio1.631.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.3M$10.3M$159.7M$156.4M$-12.3M
Returns
ROE1.6%1.6%1.7%0.8%-1.2%
Valuation
P/E64.0064.0067.36141.80—
EV/EBITDA14.2214.2214.3216.8334.42
P/B1.011.011.121.071.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%-1.2%33.4%—
EPS Growth-9.1%-9.1%120.0%162.5%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

78.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.57

Spread vs growth

-87.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

47.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

-56.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

-36.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.4%

Total return

-15.4%

Start / end P/E

69.3x → 64.0x

EPS bridge

0.11 → 0.10

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth-9.1%
Multiple rerating-7.6%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.