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600640.SS$12.00+3.54%
Fair $12.00+0.0%

600640.SS

New Guomai Digital Culture Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesShanghai

$12.00

+0.41 (+3.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $402.3M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600640.SSLocal privado en este navegador · New Guomai Digital Culture Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.5B

P/E

400.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

61.0x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

17.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$12
$11$17

TradingView lightweight chart

600640.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.00Periodo +22.7%
Fair value: $12.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.8%

FCF / Net income

-10.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.82B · net income $21.5M · FCF $-232.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.8%+10.3% pts

Operating margin

-1.4%+5.1% pts

Net margin

1.2%+6.9% pts

FCF margin

-12.8%-9.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.82B$1.82B$2.14B$2.38B$3.51B
Net Income$21.5M$21.5M$15.2M$5.2M$-199.7M
EBITDA$139.0M$139.0M$153.2M$191.9M$-59.9M
EPS0.030.030.020.01-0.25
Gross Margin17.8%17.8%16.7%13.9%7.5%
Operating Margin-1.4%-1.4%-0.3%-2.8%-6.5%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%0.7%0.2%-5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.02
Current Ratio2.582.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-232.1M$-232.1M$575.7M$402.3M$-103.4M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%0.4%0.1%-5.1%
Valuation
P/E400.00400.00571.731687.69—
EV/EBITDA60.9560.9548.3238.80—
P/B2.402.402.192.221.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.0%-15.0%-10.3%-32.1%—
EPS Growth41.4%41.4%193.8%102.6%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

240.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.06

Spread vs growth

-199.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

116.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

-75.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

54.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.07

Spread vs growth

-13.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.7%

Total return

+0.7%

Start / end P/E

624.6x → 444.4x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.03

Residual

-11.9%

EPS growth+41.4%
Multiple rerating-28.8%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.