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600657.SS$2.86-1.72%
Fair $2.86+0.0%

600657.SS

Cinda Real Estate Co., Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesShanghai

$2.86

-0.05 (-1.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.86Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 7/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

7/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.31, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -49.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600657.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Cinda Real Estate Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-49.3%

↓

Gross Margin

24.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.31

↑
52-Week Range$3
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

600657.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.860Periodo -44.7%
Fair value: $2.860

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-36.9%

FCF CAGR

-36.0%

FCF margin

10.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.58B · net income $-7.88B · FCF $477.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.3%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

-1.0%-16.6% pts

Net margin

-171.8%-174.8% pts

FCF margin

10.4%+0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.58B$4.58B$8.03B$11.42B$18.25B
Net Income$-7.88B$-7.88B$-783.9M$505.4M$550.4M
EBITDA$-6.80B$-6.80B$810.3M$2.29B$2.96B
EPS-2.76-2.76-0.270.180.19
Gross Margin24.3%24.3%30.3%27.1%25.2%
Operating Margin-1.0%-1.0%19.1%15.9%15.6%
Net Margin-171.8%-171.8%-9.8%4.4%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.312.311.361.391.41
Current Ratio1.871.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$477.3M$477.3M$-1.15B$672.9M$1.82B
Returns
ROE-49.3%-49.3%-3.3%2.1%2.3%
Valuation
P/E———19.8327.79
EV/EBITDA——49.6415.1112.53
P/B0.510.510.530.410.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-42.9%-42.9%-29.7%-37.4%—
EPS Growth-922.2%-922.2%-250.0%-5.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.1%

Total return

-31.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → -2.76

Residual

-31.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.