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600824.SS$3.84-2.04%
Fair $3.84+0.0%

600824.SS

Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShanghai

$3.84

-0.08 (-2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.84Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $85.2M · quality 74.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600824.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

32.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.0x

↑

ROE

4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

49.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$5

TradingView lightweight chart

600824.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.840Periodo +199.2%
Fair value: $3.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.8%

FCF CAGR

+36.1%

FCF margin

12.6%

FCF / Net income

0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $677.1M · net income $121.6M · FCF $85.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.4%+7.7% pts

Operating margin

1.3%+6.1% pts

Net margin

18.0%+54.9% pts

FCF margin

12.6%+8.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$677.1M$677.1M$856.2M$1.03B$811.0M
Net Income$121.6M$121.6M$35.3M$56.9M$-299.6M
EBITDA$269.6M$269.6M$152.6M$185.0M$-258.1M
EPS0.120.120.030.05-0.28
Gross Margin49.4%49.4%45.4%43.1%41.6%
Operating Margin1.3%1.3%5.0%6.1%-4.8%
Net Margin18.0%18.0%4.1%5.5%-36.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.040.23
Current Ratio4.674.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$85.2M$85.2M$60.7M$177.4M$33.8M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%1.5%2.4%-12.8%
Valuation
P/E32.0032.00138.2472.96—
EV/EBITDA13.0313.0327.1916.69—
P/B1.611.612.021.731.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-20.9%-20.9%-16.9%27.0%—
EPS Growth238.2%238.2%-37.0%119.0%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

43.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.34

Spread vs growth

194.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.41

Spread vs growth

209.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

219.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.4%

Total return

-13.4%

Start / end P/E

131.2x → 33.4x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.12

Residual

-177.6%

EPS growth+238.2%
Multiple rerating-74.5%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-177.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.