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600825.SS$5.31+2.71%
Fair $5.31+0.0%

600825.SS

Shanghai Xinhua Media Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / PublishingShanghai

$5.31

+0.14 (+2.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.31Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $58.6M · quality 74.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600825.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Xinhua Media Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

132.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

32.6x

↑

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

29.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$5
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600825.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.310Periodo +66.5%
Fair value: $5.310

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.8%

FCF CAGR

-9.8%

FCF margin

4.6%

FCF / Net income

1.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.45B · net income $42.3M · FCF $67.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.0%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

-0.5%-0.7% pts

Net margin

2.9%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

4.6%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.45B$1.45B$1.43B$1.31B$1.26B
Net Income$42.3M$42.3M$40.5M$36.2M$8.8M
EBITDA$132.3M$132.3M$159.3M$134.0M$92.5M
EPS0.040.040.040.030.01
Gross Margin29.0%29.0%30.1%31.0%30.6%
Operating Margin-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%1.5%0.2%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%2.8%2.8%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.050.070.07
Current Ratio1.971.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$67.3M$67.3M$17.0M$58.6M$91.8M
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%1.7%1.5%0.4%
Valuation
P/E132.75132.75143.25155.33385.00
EV/EBITDA32.6132.6128.7534.1226.12
P/B2.252.252.362.281.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.3%1.3%9.7%3.6%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%33.3%200.0%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

127.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

-127.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

70.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.57

Spread vs growth

-70.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

36.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.92

Spread vs growth

-36.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.7%

Total return

-23.7%

Start / end P/E

174.5x → 132.7x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.04

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating-23.9%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.