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600829.SS$8.75-1.35%
Fair $8.75+0.0%

600829.SS

HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical Corporation

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericShanghai

$8.75

-0.12 (-1.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.75Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $282.8M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600829.SSLocal privado en este navegador · HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.1B

P/E

36.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.7x

↑

ROE

4.4%

↑

Gross Margin

8.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↑
52-Week Range$9
$7$18

TradingView lightweight chart

600829.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.750Periodo +392.8%
Fair value: $8.750

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.5%

FCF CAGR

-2.0%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

2.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.38B · net income $133.8M · FCF $282.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.2%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-1.1% pts

Net margin

1.3%-1.5% pts

FCF margin

2.7%-0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.38B$10.38B$10.05B$10.39B$9.64B
Net Income$133.8M$133.8M$213.3M$292.2M$264.5M
EBITDA$273.1M$273.1M$378.9M$480.8M$454.0M
EPS0.230.230.370.500.46
Gross Margin8.2%8.2%8.6%9.6%9.5%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%3.2%4.3%3.9%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%2.1%2.8%2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.310.370.52
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$282.8M$282.8M$107.4M$309.5M$300.9M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%7.4%10.6%10.8%
Valuation
P/E36.4636.4618.8715.6014.10
EV/EBITDA16.7316.7310.098.878.40
P/B1.681.681.401.661.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.3%3.3%-3.3%7.8%—
EPS Growth-37.2%-37.2%-27.0%10.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

49.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.78

Spread vs growth

-87.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.94

Spread vs growth

-69.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.51

Spread vs growth

-57.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.8%

Total return

+17.8%

Start / end P/E

20.2x → 37.9x

EPS bridge

0.37 → 0.23

Residual

-32.7%

EPS growth-37.2%
Multiple rerating+87.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.