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600853.SS$3.62-1.63%
Fair $3.62+0.0%

600853.SS

Longjian Road&Bridge Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShanghai

$3.62

-0.06 (-1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.62Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 3/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-34.2M · quality 15.0/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.71, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600853.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Longjian Road&Bridge Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

9.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

9.6%

↑

Gross Margin

11.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.71

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

600853.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.620Periodo +159.8%
Fair value: $3.620

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.61B · net income $388.9M · FCF $-34.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.6%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

4.8%-0.0% pts

Net margin

2.2%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-0.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.61B$17.61B$18.29B$17.43B$16.96B
Net Income$388.9M$388.9M$413.0M$334.1M$349.3M
EBITDA$1.30B$1.30B$1.34B$1.28B$1.26B
EPS0.380.380.410.330.34
Gross Margin11.6%11.6%11.8%11.7%11.0%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%5.1%5.0%4.9%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%2.3%1.9%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.713.713.795.214.99
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-34.2M$-34.2M$2.55B$-1.69B$9.2M
Returns
ROE9.6%9.6%11.2%12.2%13.2%
Valuation
P/E9.539.538.6313.2710.94
EV/EBITDA10.0110.018.8911.288.43
P/B0.910.910.971.621.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.7%-3.7%4.9%2.8%—
EPS Growth-7.3%-7.3%24.2%-2.9%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.32

Spread vs growth

-1.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.39

Spread vs growth

-7.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.63

Spread vs growth

-12.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.1%

Total return

-1.1%

Start / end P/E

9.0x → 9.5x

EPS bridge

0.41 → 0.38

Residual

-0.4%

EPS growth-7.3%
Multiple rerating+5.6%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.