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600854.SS$4.90+2.20%
Fair $4.90+0.0%

600854.SS

Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShanghai

$4.90

+0.11 (+2.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.90Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $15.2M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Book/ROE model only applies to financial balance-sheet businesses. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 600854.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

20.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

↓

ROE

5.2%

↑

Gross Margin

21.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$5
$5$7

TradingView lightweight chart

600854.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.100Periodo -62.4%
Fair value: $4.900

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-30.4%

FCF CAGR

-44.7%

FCF margin

16.1%

FCF / Net income

0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $94.9M · net income $127.6M · FCF $15.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.7%-28.0% pts

Operating margin

-28.7%-58.4% pts

Net margin

134.5%+91.0% pts

FCF margin

16.1%-15.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$94.9M$94.9M$92.0M$173.0M$281.8M
Net Income$127.6M$127.6M$133.3M$148.1M$122.9M
EBITDA$155.7M$155.7M$163.8M$197.3M$194.0M
EPS0.250.250.260.290.24
Gross Margin21.7%21.7%38.8%48.3%49.7%
Operating Margin-28.7%-28.7%-17.8%19.3%29.7%
Net Margin134.5%134.5%145.0%85.6%43.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio10.8610.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$15.2M$15.2M$48.6M$-18.8M$89.9M
Returns
ROE5.2%5.2%5.5%6.3%5.5%
Valuation
P/E20.4220.4217.0618.7319.58
EV/EBITDA8.578.576.888.707.12
P/B1.031.030.941.181.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.1%3.1%-46.8%-38.6%—
EPS Growth-4.3%-4.3%-10.0%20.5%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

-25.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.53

Spread vs growth

-20.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.85

Spread vs growth

-17.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.1%

Total return

+4.1%

Start / end P/E

19.5x → 20.8x

EPS bridge

0.26 → 0.25

Residual

-0.3%

EPS growth-4.3%
Multiple rerating+6.4%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.