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600861.SS$14.43-0.96%
Fair $14.43+0.0%

600861.SS

FESCO Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Staffing & Employment ServicesShanghai

$14.43

-0.14 (-0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.43Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $573.6M · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 600861.SSLocal privado en este navegador · FESCO Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.2B

P/E

9.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.5x

↓

ROE

16.0%

↑

Gross Margin

5.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$14
$14$23

TradingView lightweight chart

600861.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.43Periodo +101.8%
Fair value: $14.43

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.8%

FCF CAGR

+1044.0%

FCF margin

2.8%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $45.19B · net income $1.17B · FCF $1.27B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.5%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

3.3%+0.3% pts

Net margin

2.6%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

2.8%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$45.19B$45.19B$43.03B$38.31B$32.34B
Net Income$1.17B$1.17B$791.4M$548.0M$414.4M
EBITDA$2.06B$2.06B$1.53B$1.40B$1.31B
EPS2.072.071.401.081.06
Gross Margin5.5%5.5%5.9%6.9%7.9%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%3.2%2.8%3.0%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%1.8%1.4%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.090.110.13
Current Ratio1.921.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.27B$1.27B$272.6M$573.6M$846610.04
Returns
ROE16.0%16.0%12.1%9.1%7.9%
Valuation
P/E9.689.6812.1717.1721.08
EV/EBITDA0.470.471.721.632.29
P/B1.121.121.471.561.67
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%12.3%18.5%—
EPS Growth47.8%47.8%29.6%2.0%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.28

Spread vs growth

62.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.55

Spread vs growth

53.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.50

Spread vs growth

45.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -26.6%

Total return

-26.6%

Start / end P/E

15.0x → 7.0x

EPS bridge

1.40 → 2.07

Residual

-25.6%

EPS growth+47.8%
Multiple rerating-53.6%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.