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600865.SS$11.28+3.77%
Fair $11.28+0.0%

600865.SS

Baida Group Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShanghai

$11.28

+0.41 (+3.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.28Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $56.7M · quality 62.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600865.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Baida Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

188.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

29.6x

↑

ROE

0.4%

↓

Gross Margin

82.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$11
$9$23

TradingView lightweight chart

600865.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.28Periodo +167.6%
Fair value: $11.28

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.0%

FCF CAGR

+3.1%

FCF margin

27.4%

FCF / Net income

5.69x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $207.0M · net income $10.0M · FCF $56.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

82.0%-3.6% pts

Operating margin

51.6%— pts

Net margin

4.8%-74.3% pts

FCF margin

27.4%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$207.0M$207.0M$194.4M$216.9M$227.1M
Net Income$10.0M$10.0M$132.8M$13.6M$179.8M
EBITDA$125.7M$125.7M$128.5M$144.6M$252.1M
EPS0.030.030.350.040.48
Gross Margin82.0%82.0%90.6%89.1%85.7%
Operating Margin51.6%51.6%———
Net Margin4.8%4.8%68.3%6.3%79.1%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio7.967.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$56.7M$56.7M$44.7M$106.7M$51.7M
Returns
ROE0.4%0.4%5.7%0.6%7.6%
Valuation
P/E188.00188.0024.14206.2518.90
EV/EBITDA29.5729.5724.4118.0113.13
P/B1.641.641.371.221.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.5%6.5%-10.4%-4.5%—
EPS Growth-91.4%-91.4%775.0%-91.7%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

221.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.00

Spread vs growth

-313.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

109.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.21

Spread vs growth

-200.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

51.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.95

Spread vs growth

-143.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.2%

Total return

+19.2%

Start / end P/E

27.4x → 376.0x

EPS bridge

0.35 → 0.03

Residual

-1163.2%

EPS growth-91.4%
Multiple rerating+1272.3%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1163.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.