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600866.SS$5.05-1.37%
Fair $5.05+0.0%

600866.SS

Star Lake Bioscience Co., Inc.Zhaoqing Guangdong

Healthcare / BiotechnologyShanghai

$5.05

-0.07 (-1.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.05Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 600866.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Star Lake Bioscience Co., Inc.Zhaoqing Guangdong
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.4B

P/E

18.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.8x

↓

ROE

11.9%

↑

Gross Margin

16.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.76

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

600866.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.050Periodo +105.5%
Fair value: $5.050

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.90B · net income $978.9M · FCF $-746.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.5%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

8.1%-2.5% pts

Net margin

6.2%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.7%-11.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.90B$15.90B$17.33B$17.37B$17.49B
Net Income$978.9M$978.9M$943.2M$678.0M$608.3M
EBITDA$2.15B$2.15B$2.19B$1.89B$2.65B
EPS0.590.590.570.410.51
Gross Margin16.5%16.5%17.2%14.0%17.6%
Operating Margin8.1%8.1%9.4%7.1%10.6%
Net Margin6.2%6.2%5.4%3.9%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.760.760.440.560.65
Current Ratio0.970.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-746.5M$-746.5M$1.76B$1.65B$1.21B
Returns
ROE11.9%11.9%12.0%9.0%8.8%
Valuation
P/E18.0418.0410.2511.3512.48
EV/EBITDA5.785.785.195.554.15
P/B1.021.021.231.021.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.3%-8.3%-0.2%-0.6%—
EPS Growth3.8%3.8%39.1%-20.3%—
Dividend Yield7.4%7.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.45

Spread vs growth

12.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

5.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

-0.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.9%

Total return

-24.9%

Start / end P/E

13.1x → 8.6x

EPS bridge

0.57 → 0.59

Residual

-1.3%

EPS growth+3.8%
Multiple rerating-34.8%
Dividend+7.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.