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600971.SS$7.95-3.52%
Fair $7.95+0.0%

600971.SS

Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co.,Ltd

Energy / Thermal CoalShanghai

$7.95

-0.29 (-3.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.95Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $342.7M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600971.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

16.4x

↑

ROE

-1.6%

↓

Gross Margin

22.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$8
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600971.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.950Periodo +177.2%
Fair value: $7.950

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.7%

FCF / Net income

0.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.53B · net income $-191.8M · FCF $-39.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.7%-28.1% pts

Operating margin

-2.8%-37.1% pts

Net margin

-3.5%-33.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.7%-25.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.53B$5.53B$6.97B$7.79B$8.39B
Net Income$-191.8M$-191.8M$1.07B$2.04B$2.53B
EBITDA$652.7M$652.7M$2.07B$3.05B$3.72B
EPS-0.16-0.160.891.702.11
Gross Margin22.7%22.7%37.8%47.0%50.8%
Operating Margin-2.8%-2.8%18.6%29.0%34.3%
Net Margin-3.5%-3.5%15.4%26.1%30.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.140.150.15
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-39.8M$-39.8M$342.7M$2.36B$2.07B
Returns
ROE-1.6%-1.6%8.7%16.2%19.2%
Valuation
P/E——10.276.843.44
EV/EBITDA16.4416.443.582.950.86
P/B0.810.810.891.100.66
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-20.6%-20.6%-10.4%-7.2%—
EPS Growth-118.0%-118.0%-47.6%-19.4%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.6%

Total return

+16.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.89 → -0.16

Residual

+13.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.