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601086.SS$7.94-5.02%
Fair $7.94+0.0%

601086.SS

Gansu Guofang Industry & Trade (Group) Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShanghai

$7.94

-0.42 (-5.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.94Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $162.7M · quality 69.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 601086.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Gansu Guofang Industry & Trade (Group) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

52.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.0x

↑

ROE

4.4%

↓

Gross Margin

41.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$8
$8$16

TradingView lightweight chart

601086.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.940Periodo +74.5%
Fair value: $7.940

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.0%

FCF CAGR

-19.9%

FCF margin

7.0%

FCF / Net income

0.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $800.3M · net income $70.3M · FCF $56.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.8%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

8.0%-0.4% pts

Net margin

8.8%-7.0% pts

FCF margin

7.0%-7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$800.3M$800.3M$757.1M$969.6M$754.1M
Net Income$70.3M$70.3M$58.0M$157.8M$118.7M
EBITDA$165.5M$165.5M$174.8M$313.3M$255.0M
EPS0.110.110.090.240.18
Gross Margin41.8%41.8%45.6%48.3%43.2%
Operating Margin8.0%8.0%11.4%16.9%8.4%
Net Margin8.8%8.8%7.7%16.3%15.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.160.140.17
Current Ratio1.331.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$56.3M$56.3M$162.7M$421.8M$109.7M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%3.7%9.6%7.7%
Valuation
P/E52.9352.9363.6722.3722.50
EV/EBITDA28.0128.0118.039.6110.11
P/B3.163.162.342.151.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.7%5.7%-21.9%28.6%—
EPS Growth22.2%22.2%-62.5%33.3%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

85.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.70

Spread vs growth

-63.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.85

Spread vs growth

-28.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.37

Spread vs growth

-6.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.4%

Total return

-40.4%

Start / end P/E

150.3x → 72.2x

EPS bridge

0.09 → 0.11

Residual

-11.6%

EPS growth+22.2%
Multiple rerating-52.0%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.