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601279.SS$3.59-1.64%
Fair $3.59+0.0%

601279.SS

Changchun Engley Automobile Industry Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$3.59

-0.06 (-1.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.59Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $232.3M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 601279.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Changchun Engley Automobile Industry Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

14.4x

↑

ROE

-2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

9.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

601279.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.590Periodo +20.5%
Fair value: $3.590

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.4%

FCF / Net income

-2.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.32B · net income $-84.5M · FCF $232.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.2%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

-0.3%-2.3% pts

Net margin

-2.0%-3.1% pts

FCF margin

5.4%+8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.32B$4.32B$4.69B$5.32B$5.09B
Net Income$-84.5M$-84.5M$48.8M$101.5M$58.4M
EBITDA$367.2M$367.2M$516.2M$622.0M$492.3M
EPS-0.05-0.050.030.070.04
Gross Margin9.2%9.2%10.9%11.7%10.2%
Operating Margin-0.3%-0.3%2.4%3.5%2.0%
Net Margin-2.0%-2.0%1.0%1.9%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.280.320.33
Current Ratio1.851.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$232.3M$232.3M$280.4M$-73.8M$-171.2M
Returns
ROE-2.0%-2.0%1.1%2.4%1.6%
Valuation
P/E——121.2980.71129.50
EV/EBITDA14.3814.3810.9312.6815.46
P/B1.371.371.381.922.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.9%-7.9%-11.8%4.4%—
EPS Growth-271.0%-271.0%-55.7%75.0%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.8%

Total return

-4.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → -0.05

Residual

-5.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.