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601515.SS$4.00-1.23%
Fair $4.00+0.0%

601515.SS

Quzhou DFP New Material Group Co., Ltd.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesShanghai

$4.00

-0.05 (-1.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-423.1M · quality 51.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -9.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 601515.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Quzhou DFP New Material Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-9.1%

↓

Gross Margin

7.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

601515.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.000Periodo -27.9%
Fair value: $4.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-30.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-21.9%

FCF / Net income

0.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.27B · net income $-446.5M · FCF $-278.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.9%-21.7% pts

Operating margin

-18.0%-30.5% pts

Net margin

-35.2%-42.9% pts

FCF margin

-21.9%-34.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.27B$1.27B$1.42B$2.63B$3.74B
Net Income$-446.5M$-446.5M$-489.5M$150.5M$289.3M
EBITDA$-395.8M$-395.8M$-346.6M$244.5M$623.0M
EPS-0.24-0.24-0.270.080.17
Gross Margin7.9%7.9%17.8%23.0%29.6%
Operating Margin-18.0%-18.0%-7.0%4.1%12.5%
Net Margin-35.2%-35.2%-34.4%5.7%7.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.100.070.08
Current Ratio4.134.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-278.3M$-278.3M$-462.7M$-423.1M$458.1M
Returns
ROE-9.1%-9.1%-9.3%2.6%5.2%
Valuation
P/E———51.5025.65
EV/EBITDA———24.069.51
P/B1.511.511.291.361.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.8%-10.8%-45.9%-29.7%—
EPS Growth11.1%11.1%-437.5%-52.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.0%

Total return

-2.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → -0.24

Residual

-2.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.