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603006.SS$13.84-3.62%
Fair $13.84+0.0%

603006.SS

Shanghai Lianming Machinery Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$13.84

-0.52 (-3.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.84Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $176.8M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603006.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Lianming Machinery Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

33.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.2x

↑

ROE

6.9%

↑

Gross Margin

22.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$14
$11$17

TradingView lightweight chart

603006.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.84Periodo +93.6%
Fair value: $13.84

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.1%

FCF CAGR

+14.3%

FCF margin

20.5%

FCF / Net income

1.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $863.7M · net income $92.4M · FCF $176.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.5%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

11.5%-3.3% pts

Net margin

10.7%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

20.5%+10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$863.7M$863.7M$782.9M$1.14B$1.23B
Net Income$92.4M$92.4M$63.0M$105.5M$148.0M
EBITDA$151.1M$151.1M$154.7M$210.6M$270.7M
EPS0.360.360.250.410.58
Gross Margin22.5%22.5%25.0%25.9%23.8%
Operating Margin11.5%11.5%13.1%16.3%14.9%
Net Margin10.7%10.7%8.1%9.3%12.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.000.00
Current Ratio3.013.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$176.8M$176.8M$89.2M$184.4M$118.3M
Returns
ROE6.9%6.9%4.4%7.3%10.3%
Valuation
P/E33.7633.7638.7230.7615.90
EV/EBITDA23.2123.2113.1913.007.19
P/B2.652.651.702.241.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.3%10.3%-31.2%-7.6%—
EPS Growth44.0%44.0%-39.0%-29.3%—
Dividend Yield7.5%7.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

50.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.23

Spread vs growth

-6.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.49

Spread vs growth

11.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.39

Spread vs growth

23.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.9%

Total return

+19.9%

Start / end P/E

49.2x → 38.4x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.36

Residual

-9.6%

EPS growth+44.0%
Multiple rerating-21.9%
Dividend+7.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.