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603011.SS$30.91+6.62%
Fair $30.91+0.0%

603011.SS

Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShanghai

$30.91

+1.92 (+6.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.91Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $109.0M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -13.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603011.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-13.2%

↓

Gross Margin

23.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.31

↓
52-Week Range$31
$12$33

TradingView lightweight chart

603011.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.91Periodo +908.5%
Fair value: $30.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.12B · net income $-248.7M · FCF $216.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.7%-6.7% pts

Operating margin

1.7%-8.4% pts

Net margin

-11.7%-12.5% pts

FCF margin

10.2%+17.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.12B$2.12B$2.07B$1.77B$1.73B
Net Income$-248.7M$-248.7M$-89.0M$16.6M$13.1M
EBITDA$-145.4M$-145.4M$8.5M$139.9M$89.0M
EPS-0.50-0.50-0.180.030.03
Gross Margin23.7%23.7%24.7%27.7%30.3%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%3.4%7.6%10.1%
Net Margin-11.7%-11.7%-4.3%0.9%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.310.310.300.320.27
Current Ratio1.231.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$216.2M$216.2M$109.0M$-22.7M$-129.2M
Returns
ROE-13.2%-13.2%-4.2%0.7%0.6%
Valuation
P/E———251.67290.33
EV/EBITDA——360.3430.0841.86
P/B8.138.131.481.881.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.3%2.3%17.4%1.8%—
EPS Growth-177.8%-177.8%-700.0%0.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +153.2%

Total return

+153.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.18 → -0.50

Residual

+153.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+153.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.