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603040.SS$80.20+0.12%
Fair $80.20+0.0%

603040.SS

Hangzhou XZB Tech Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$80.20

+0.10 (+0.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $80.20Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $241.1M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603040.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou XZB Tech Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.9B

P/E

40.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.4x

↑

ROE

17.8%

↑

Gross Margin

54.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$80
$35$125

TradingView lightweight chart

603040.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $80.20Periodo +644.4%
Fair value: $80.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.1%

FCF CAGR

+51.3%

FCF margin

41.5%

FCF / Net income

1.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $804.1M · net income $266.9M · FCF $333.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.0%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

37.6%+0.2% pts

Net margin

33.2%+3.6% pts

FCF margin

41.5%+23.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$804.1M$804.1M$680.3M$583.3M$526.8M
Net Income$266.9M$266.9M$211.6M$184.4M$155.8M
EBITDA$373.4M$373.4M$302.7M$267.4M$244.3M
EPS1.991.991.581.381.17
Gross Margin54.0%54.0%51.9%53.3%54.7%
Operating Margin37.6%37.6%35.5%33.7%37.4%
Net Margin33.2%33.2%31.1%31.6%29.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.010.040.00
Current Ratio5.015.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$333.9M$333.9M$179.5M$241.1M$96.4M
Returns
ROE17.8%17.8%15.6%14.7%14.1%
Valuation
P/E40.5140.5113.6420.0315.83
EV/EBITDA28.3628.368.9313.408.80
P/B7.177.172.132.952.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.2%18.2%16.6%10.7%—
EPS Growth25.9%25.9%14.5%17.9%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

52.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.12

Spread vs growth

-27.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.61

Spread vs growth

-8.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.87

Spread vs growth

4.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +88.5%

Total return

+88.5%

Start / end P/E

27.2x → 40.3x

EPS bridge

1.58 → 1.99

Residual

+12.6%

EPS growth+25.9%
Multiple rerating+48.4%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.