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603081.SS$10.37-2.54%
Fair $10.37+0.0%

603081.SS

Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesShanghai

$10.37

-0.27 (-2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.37Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.1M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603081.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

74.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.3x

↑

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

25.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$10
$10$15

TradingView lightweight chart

603081.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.37Periodo -30.9%
Fair value: $10.37

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

19.1%

FCF / Net income

5.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.38B · net income $87.8M · FCF $455.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.0%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

1.0%-14.6% pts

Net margin

3.7%-6.4% pts

FCF margin

19.1%+46.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.38B$2.38B$1.84B$1.94B$2.84B
Net Income$87.8M$87.8M$64.6M$101.0M$287.0M
EBITDA$273.7M$273.7M$283.7M$291.0M$487.5M
EPS0.210.210.160.250.69
Gross Margin25.0%25.0%33.4%25.0%29.9%
Operating Margin1.0%1.0%7.0%2.4%15.6%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%3.5%5.2%10.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.960.900.88
Current Ratio1.301.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$455.2M$455.2M$-4.1M$-71.9M$-779.3M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%2.3%3.5%10.1%
Valuation
P/E74.0774.0766.4454.1219.28
EV/EBITDA20.2620.2617.5923.5214.86
P/B1.361.361.041.751.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth29.3%29.3%-4.9%-31.8%—
EPS Growth31.2%31.2%-36.0%-63.8%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

63.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.92

Spread vs growth

-32.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

39.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

-8.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.79

Spread vs growth

7.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.2%

Total return

-6.2%

Start / end P/E

70.0x → 49.4x

EPS bridge

0.16 → 0.21

Residual

-9.2%

EPS growth+31.2%
Multiple rerating-29.5%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.