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603116.SS$7.29+0.55%
Fair $7.29+0.0%

603116.SS

Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesShanghai

$7.29

+0.04 (+0.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.29Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $218.9M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 32/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -5.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603116.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

67.2x

↑

ROE

-5.6%

↓

Gross Margin

39.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$7
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

603116.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.290Periodo -60.0%
Fair value: $7.290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.5%

FCF CAGR

+67.5%

FCF margin

10.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.02B · net income $-140.2M · FCF $218.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.0%+4.1% pts

Operating margin

-3.2%-1.4% pts

Net margin

-6.9%-5.2% pts

FCF margin

10.8%+8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.02B$2.02B$2.14B$2.47B$2.25B
Net Income$-140.2M$-140.2M$-70.3M$51.9M$-39.3M
EBITDA$44.1M$44.1M$148.5M$302.2M$142.8M
EPS-0.25-0.25-0.120.09-0.07
Gross Margin39.0%39.0%39.1%36.9%35.0%
Operating Margin-3.2%-3.2%-0.4%2.9%-1.8%
Net Margin-6.9%-6.9%-3.3%2.1%-1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.050.080.17
Current Ratio2.692.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$218.9M$218.9M$24.4M$305.5M$46.6M
Returns
ROE-5.6%-5.6%-2.5%1.7%-1.2%
Valuation
P/E———70.78—
EV/EBITDA67.2067.2014.697.3112.07
P/B1.621.621.091.210.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.5%-5.5%-13.2%9.6%—
EPS Growth-108.3%-108.3%-233.3%228.6%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.3%

Total return

+29.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.12 → -0.25

Residual

+25.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+25.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.