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603136.SS$9.37-3.30%
Fair $9.37+0.0%

603136.SS

Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingShanghai

$9.37

-0.32 (-3.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.37Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $151.0M · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 603136.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

27.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.2x

↓

ROE

7.0%

↑

Gross Margin

50.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$9
$9$15

TradingView lightweight chart

603136.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.370Periodo +0.8%
Fair value: $9.370

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

29.7%

FCF / Net income

1.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $508.1M · net income $95.3M · FCF $151.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.3%+14.1% pts

Operating margin

25.9%+19.2% pts

Net margin

18.8%+13.3% pts

FCF margin

29.7%+35.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$508.1M$508.1M$536.2M$629.9M$368.6M
Net Income$95.3M$95.3M$104.7M$147.0M$20.3M
EBITDA$239.5M$239.5M$270.9M$346.4M$142.6M
EPS0.350.350.390.540.08
Gross Margin50.3%50.3%52.4%54.3%36.2%
Operating Margin25.9%25.9%28.6%34.8%6.7%
Net Margin18.8%18.8%19.5%23.3%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.130.090.13
Current Ratio6.386.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$151.0M$151.0M$131.7M$239.5M$-19.6M
Returns
ROE7.0%7.0%7.8%11.0%1.7%
Valuation
P/E27.5627.5628.0825.21230.91
EV/EBITDA8.238.239.129.4431.41
P/B1.861.862.192.783.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.2%-5.2%-14.9%70.9%—
EPS Growth-10.3%-10.3%-27.8%611.8%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.83

Spread vs growth

-43.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.01

Spread vs growth

-33.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.62

Spread vs growth

-26.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.0%

Total return

-19.0%

Start / end P/E

30.4x → 26.8x

EPS bridge

0.39 → 0.35

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growth-10.3%
Multiple rerating-12.0%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.