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603167.SS$9.21-0.32%
Fair $9.21+0.0%

603167.SS

Bohai Ferry Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Marine ShippingShanghai

$9.21

-0.03 (-0.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.21Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $437.3M · quality 81.3/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603167.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Bohai Ferry Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.3B

P/E

17.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.9x

↓

ROE

7.5%

↑

Gross Margin

27.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$9
$9$12

TradingView lightweight chart

603167.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.210Periodo -21.7%
Fair value: $9.210

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.2%

FCF CAGR

+6.6%

FCF margin

25.8%

FCF / Net income

1.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.84B · net income $263.3M · FCF $475.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.0%+20.7% pts

Operating margin

24.3%+9.8% pts

Net margin

14.3%+1.9% pts

FCF margin

25.8%-4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.84B$1.84B$1.82B$1.84B$1.31B
Net Income$263.3M$263.3M$274.3M$250.4M$162.1M
EBITDA$623.1M$623.1M$620.7M$584.8M$462.9M
EPS0.560.560.580.530.35
Gross Margin27.0%27.0%28.2%27.1%6.4%
Operating Margin24.3%24.3%26.2%20.5%14.5%
Net Margin14.3%14.3%15.1%13.6%12.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.050.050.22
Current Ratio3.523.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$475.8M$475.8M$262.1M$437.3M$392.2M
Returns
ROE7.5%7.5%7.6%6.6%4.5%
Valuation
P/E17.3817.3814.6217.7421.06
EV/EBITDA6.896.896.457.428.38
P/B1.241.241.111.170.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.4%1.4%-1.1%40.8%—
EPS Growth-3.4%-3.4%9.4%51.4%—
Dividend Yield8.7%8.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.82

Spread vs growth

-16.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.99

Spread vs growth

-15.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.59

Spread vs growth

-14.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.0%

Total return

+11.0%

Start / end P/E

15.5x → 16.4x

EPS bridge

0.58 → 0.56

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth-3.4%
Multiple rerating+6.0%
Dividend+8.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.