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603173.SS$34.60-1.73%
Fair $34.60+0.0%

603173.SS

Hangzhou Fortune Gas Cryogenic Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShanghai

$34.60

-0.61 (-1.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $34.60Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $403.2M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 603173.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Fortune Gas Cryogenic Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

13.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

21.3%

↑

Gross Margin

26.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$35
$32$55

TradingView lightweight chart

603173.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $34.60Periodo +28.8%
Fair value: $34.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

26.6%

FCF / Net income

1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.00B · net income $421.3M · FCF $798.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.3%+6.3% pts

Operating margin

18.4%+7.1% pts

Net margin

14.0%+6.5% pts

FCF margin

26.6%+28.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.00B$3.00B$2.42B$2.16B$1.89B
Net Income$421.3M$421.3M$261.2M$191.1M$141.9M
EBITDA$544.8M$544.8M$332.6M$240.8M$171.1M
EPS2.662.661.631.221.18
Gross Margin26.3%26.3%23.4%21.9%20.1%
Operating Margin18.4%18.4%15.8%13.6%11.3%
Net Margin14.0%14.0%10.8%8.9%7.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.000.040.28
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$798.8M$798.8M$291.1M$403.2M$-35.5M
Returns
ROE21.3%21.3%16.1%13.2%22.8%
Valuation
P/E13.7813.7813.6018.28—
EV/EBITDA7.087.086.109.10—
P/B2.772.772.182.40—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.1%24.1%12.2%14.3%—
EPS Growth63.2%63.2%33.6%3.4%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.07

Spread vs growth

58.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.71

Spread vs growth

56.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.98

Spread vs growth

54.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.4%

Total return

+7.4%

Start / end P/E

20.0x → 13.0x

EPS bridge

1.63 → 2.66

Residual

-22.2%

EPS growth+63.2%
Multiple rerating-35.1%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.