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603187.SS$13.17-2.44%
Fair $13.17+0.0%

603187.SS

Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Business Equipment & SuppliesShanghai

$13.17

-0.33 (-2.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.17Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $371.2M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603187.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.1B

P/E

12.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

9.0%

↑

Gross Margin

27.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$13
$11$17

TradingView lightweight chart

603187.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.17Periodo +8.9%
Fair value: $13.17

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.1%

FCF / Net income

0.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.35B · net income $388.6M · FCF $371.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.6%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

13.9%+2.9% pts

Net margin

11.6%+1.5% pts

FCF margin

11.1%+18.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.35B$3.35B$2.83B$3.20B$2.90B
Net Income$388.6M$388.6M$353.7M$413.1M$292.2M
EBITDA$572.5M$572.5M$530.3M$572.5M$412.9M
EPS1.021.020.921.080.82
Gross Margin27.6%27.6%27.8%28.7%23.6%
Operating Margin13.9%13.9%13.5%15.0%11.0%
Net Margin11.6%11.6%12.5%12.9%10.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.000.00
Current Ratio2.462.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$371.2M$371.2M$127.4M$438.1M$-207.4M
Returns
ROE9.0%9.0%8.6%10.3%8.0%
Valuation
P/E12.9112.9111.6213.6925.27
EV/EBITDA6.276.275.818.0214.60
P/B1.161.160.991.422.03
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.4%18.4%-11.7%10.3%—
EPS Growth10.9%10.9%-14.8%31.7%—
Dividend Yield5.9%5.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.17

Spread vs growth

6.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.41

Spread vs growth

4.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.28

Spread vs growth

2.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.0%

Total return

+18.0%

Start / end P/E

12.8x → 12.9x

EPS bridge

0.92 → 1.02

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth+10.9%
Multiple rerating+1.1%
Dividend+5.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.