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603270.SS$27.91-0.75%
Fair $27.91+0.0%

603270.SS

Shandong Golden Empire Precision Machinery Technology Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$27.91

-0.21 (-0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.91Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-618.8M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603270.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Golden Empire Precision Machinery Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.1B

P/E

41.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.3x

↑

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

26.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$28
$23$33

TradingView lightweight chart

603270.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.91Periodo +8.2%
Fair value: $27.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-58.8%

FCF / Net income

-8.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.02B · net income $147.2M · FCF $-1.19B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.0%-6.7% pts

Operating margin

9.9%-5.1% pts

Net margin

7.3%-4.3% pts

FCF margin

-58.8%-45.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.02B$2.02B$1.36B$1.14B$1.10B
Net Income$147.2M$147.2M$99.5M$132.5M$126.6M
EBITDA$318.3M$318.3M$217.3M$254.7M$238.2M
EPS0.670.670.450.740.77
Gross Margin26.0%26.0%28.6%33.1%32.7%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%10.3%15.5%14.9%
Net Margin7.3%7.3%7.3%11.7%11.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.200.110.43
Current Ratio0.850.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.19B$-1.19B$-618.8M$-25.4M$-150.9M
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%4.6%6.2%14.0%
Valuation
P/E41.0441.04———
EV/EBITDA23.2623.26———
P/B2.712.71———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth49.1%49.1%19.3%3.6%—
EPS Growth48.9%48.9%-39.2%-3.9%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

54.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.48

Spread vs growth

-5.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.00

Spread vs growth

14.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.83

Spread vs growth

27.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total +9.5%

Total return

+9.5%

Start / end P/E

57.3x → 41.7x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.67

Residual

-13.4%

EPS growth+48.9%
Multiple rerating-27.3%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.